Put the event in context.
Explore policy announcements, earnings, industry developments, and other news that could affect markets. See the possible connections and the open questions.
EVENT ANALYSIS INDEPENDENT MARKET RESEARCH
Markets move.
Understand
what’s behind it.
Make sense of market events, company news, and the conversations around them. Agentic AI brings the sources and context together so you can do your own research.
Sources in view. Uncertainty made clear. Your judgment.
THE RESEARCH DESKEXAMPLE BRIEF
A stronger outlook.
A more complicated story.
A company raises its revenue outlook. The useful question is what changed—and which details still need a closer look.
PRIMARY SOURCE
The announcement
The updated outlook appears in a company release. A filing and prior guidance provide the comparison points.
POTENTIAL IMPLICATION
The questions behind it
Is demand broadening? Are margins following revenue? Which assumptions explain the change?
UNVERIFIED CHATTER
Online claims about a new customer remain unconfirmed. They stay separate from the reported facts.
Follow the evidenceCompany release · SEC filing · Original reporting
NEWS EVENTSCOMPANY CONTEXTSOURCE TRANSPARENCYINDEPENDENT THINKING
01 / THE APPROACH
A headline is a starting point.
Build a clearer picture of an event before deciding what it means to you.
Understand the company.
Bring company information, filings, and news into the same view. Look at the details behind a story and how they fit the broader picture.
COMPANY RESEARCHKnow what’s substantiated.
Examine company chatter with its source and verification status visible. Keep rumors distinguishable from primary disclosures and reported news.
CLAIMS & EVIDENCE02 / INSIDE THE RESEARCH
Read beyond the reaction.
Explore how a brief connects the event, its possible effects, and the sources behind it.
EXAMPLE BRIEF / MARKET EVENTS
An executive order.
What changes for suppliers?
An executive order directs agencies to revise cybersecurity requirements for federal suppliers. The brief examines which companies could be affected and when.
Signed executive orderAgency guidanceCompany disclosures
A
What happened
Read the signed order to confirm what it directs agencies to do and which deadlines it sets.
B
Why it may matter
Check which suppliers rely on federal contracts and how new requirements could affect their costs or eligibility.
C
What to check next
Look for agency guidance and independent evidence behind promotional claims about which suppliers stand to benefit.
HISTORICAL CASE STUDIES
From news to market moves
Compare published news and stock prices alongside illustrative AIMA briefs that show what was known before the next U.S. regular session.
A Sunday headline. A Monday price jump.
Follow the report of Bob Iger’s return to Disney, what AIMA could have surfaced that evening, and where the stock opened the next morning.
NYSE: DIS / NOV 18–21, 2022
Disney share price
USD per share
Regular session closed
$102
$98
$94
$90
Fri close $91.80
Mon open $100.12
Mon close $97.58
Fri, Nov 18Time (ET)Mon, Nov 21
1
2
-
News article published
KNPR publishes an Associated Press report on Iger’s return.
Read the AP report -
Illustrative AIMA brief
Five minutes after publication and before Monday’s regular session.
Read the executive summary
AIMA
ILLUSTRATIVE
02 / EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Bob Iger returns to lead Disney
- What changed
- Disney confirmed Iger is replacing Bob Chapek immediately. The board gave him two years to set strategy and help choose a successor.
- Potential impact
- Iger’s return could lift investor confidence in a streaming turnaround. Disney had just reported a roughly $1.5 billion quarterly operating loss in its direct-to-consumer business, making the path to profitability a key question.
- What to watch
- Look for changes to streaming costs, profitability targets, and the succession plan.
This retrospective example uses information available that evening. The five-minute placement is illustrative.
A weekend announcement puts a price on Perion
Affle agreed to acquire Perion for $11.70 per share in cash. Follow the announcement and the first U.S. regular session afterward.
NASDAQ: PERI / OCT 30–NOV 2, 2026
Perion share price
USD per share
Regular session closed
$12
$11
$10
$9
$8
Fri close $8.70
Mon open $11.42
Mon close $11.41
Fri, Oct 30Time (ET)Mon, Nov 2
1
2
-
Cash acquisition announced
Business Wire publishes Perion’s signed agreement with Affle.
Read the announcement -
Illustrative AIMA brief
Five minutes after the news and before Monday’s U.S. regular session.
Read the executive summary
AIMA
ILLUSTRATIVE
02 / EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Affle agrees to buy Perion for cash
- What changed
- Perion and Affle signed a definitive agreement at $11.70 per share in cash, about 34.5% above Perion’s Friday close.
- Potential impact
- Shares could trade toward the cash price. Time to closing and uncertainty about whether the deal will close could leave a gap below $11.70.
- What to watch
- Perion has 40 days to solicit competing bids. Watch for alternative offers and progress on the required shareholder and regulatory approvals.
This retrospective example uses information available at the time. The five-minute placement is illustrative.
ZIM goes from takeover talks to a signed deal
Hapag-Lloyd confirmed advanced talks on Sunday and announced a signed deal on Monday, a U.S. market holiday. Tuesday was the next U.S. regular session.
NYSE: ZIM / FEB 13–17, 2026
ZIM share price
USD per share
Regular session closed
$32
$28
$24
$20
Fri close $22.20
Tue open $29.97
Tue close $27.85
Fri, Feb 13Time (ET)Tue, Feb 17
1
2
3
-
Advanced talks confirmed
Hapag-Lloyd discloses negotiations to acquire ZIM.
Read the disclosure -
Illustrative AIMA brief
Five minutes after the news and before Tuesday’s U.S. regular session.
Read the executive summary -
Signed deal announced
Hapag-Lloyd discloses a merger agreement at $35 per share in cash.
Read the deal announcement
AIMA
ILLUSTRATIVE
02 / EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Hapag-Lloyd confirms advanced talks for ZIM
- What changed
- Hapag-Lloyd confirmed it was negotiating to acquire ZIM. As of Sunday’s disclosure, the parties were still in talks and the price and terms were open.
- Potential impact
- A credible takeover offer could lift ZIM’s shares if it comes at a premium. The potential effect depends on the terms and the likelihood of closing.
- What to watch
- Look for a signed agreement, a price per share, and a path to shareholder and regulatory approvals, including Israel’s consent under its special rights.
This retrospective example uses information available at the time. The five-minute placement is illustrative.
Weekend strikes put oil supply at risk
Reuters reported strikes on Iran early Saturday. The case traces how the risk of shipping disruptions could affect oil producers.
NYSE: XOM / FEB 27–MAR 2, 2026
ExxonMobil share price
USD per share
Regular session closed
$162
$158
$154
$150
Fri close $152.50
Mon open $159.35
Mon close $154.22
Fri, Feb 27Time (ET)Mon, Mar 2
1
2
-
Reuters reports strikes on Iran
The report describes the start of the attacks. The scope and duration are still developing.
Read the Reuters report -
Illustrative AIMA brief
Five minutes after the news and before Monday’s U.S. regular session.
Read the executive summary
AIMA
ILLUSTRATIVE
02 / EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Strikes on Iran raise the risk of oil disruptions
- What changed
- Reuters reported that strikes on Iran had begun. The Strait of Hormuz is a major route for global oil shipments.
- Potential impact
- A disruption to tanker traffic could lift crude prices and support ExxonMobil’s oil production business. The effect across the company would depend on how long prices stay elevated and how refining and transportation costs respond.
- What to watch
- Track tanker traffic through the strait, confirmed production outages, and crude prices when futures reopen.
This retrospective example uses information available at the time. The five-minute placement is illustrative.
03 / THE RESEARCH WORKFLOW
How AIMA Works
A more attractive price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio and a rising distribution rate can matter to long-term investors. News can move markets well before those fundamentals change. A single executive order can shift the outlook for an entire industry overnight.
- Gather relevant news. AIMA monitors syndicated world headlines and financial news. When a story points to a potential financial impact for a company or industry, AIMA looks for additional coverage to corroborate it or add context.
- Separate evidence from hype. AIMA compares coverage with original sources such as signed executive orders, agency notices, company filings, and prior disclosures. It checks what changed, when it takes effect, and who may be affected. When a story urges readers to buy, AIMA looks for independent evidence and flags claims it can’t verify.
- Read options volume in context. Brokers route U.S. listed options orders to exchanges, and the Options Price Reporting Authority (OPRA) consolidates trades and quotes across those exchanges. After the close, the Options Clearing Corporation (OCC) calculates open interest, the number of contracts still outstanding. Near expiration, closing or rolling positions can drive a spike in volume. Even a buy can close an existing short position.
- Build a daily options history. After each trading day, AIMA’s AI agents pull the consolidated options data and updated open interest. They group the data by underlying symbol, strike price, expiration, and call or put. AIMA keeps daily open-interest snapshots for comparison and tracks option premiums to see how the market is pricing volatility.
- Assess potential outcomes. AIMA combines that options history with news and sentiment analysis to explain what may be driving the activity. The brief outlines potential outcomes for the company or industry and makes the assumptions and uncertainties clear.
THE BUILDER
Who I am
I’m Tim Barnette, an Applied AI and Enterprise Architect Executive. I’ve solved complex enterprise challenges with applied artificial intelligence. I built AIMA to help independent researchers understand what’s behind market moves and see the news before the market moves.
My related quantitative work models time series across roughly 10,000 symbols to explore lead–lag relationships and filter noise.
I designed AIMA to run its research agents on privately hosted open-weight models, so I can control where inference runs.
If you’re building complex enterprise AI solutions or standing up an AI, Architecture, Technology, SAM, or FinOps practice, reach out and let’s talk.
04 / MEMBERSHIP
More context.
One place to research.
The planned membership would include full access to market-event analysis and company research, including a closer look at the claims making the rounds.
Built for curious, self-directed researchers who want to understand the story behind the movement.
FULL ACCESSPlanned research membership
$19.99/ month
Proposed price per member
- Market-event analysis and potential implications
- Company information, news, and filing context
- Company chatter with clear verification labels
- Source-linked research briefs
Membership launch is pending legal and compliance review.
Ask about membershipSend an email to ask about membership and coverage.
A FEW DETAILS
Membership questions
What will membership cover?
The planned membership includes market events, company filings and news, and the evidence behind claims circulating about companies.
How are rumors and company chatter handled?
Research briefs label primary disclosures, reported news, and unverified claims separately. An unconfirmed claim remains unconfirmed, even when it is widely repeated.
Is this investment advice or a trading platform?
AI Market Alerts provides information and research. It does not provide personalized investment advice or execute trades. Members make their own decisions and should verify the underlying sources.
When can I sign up?
Membership launch is pending legal and compliance review. You can email us about membership in the meantime.